Nana Kawagishi vs Elina Nepliy Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In recent form, Kawagishi has a slight edge over Nepliy in second serve points, winning 38.06%, compared to Nepliy's 36.96%. Could this minor difference play a significant role in the match? It could be crucial since it's closely linked to match predictions.
• When it comes to returning their opponent's second serve, Kawagishi has a stronger performance at 53.24%, whereas Nepliy stands at 51.01%. Despite Nepliy's slight advantage in returning first serves (37.21% vs. Kawagishi's 35.65%), the overall return game leans slightly towards Kawagishi.
• Under pressure, Kawagishi has been more effective in saving breakpoints, with a 48.06% success rate compared to Nepliy's 42.46%. This suggests Kawagishi might handle high-pressure moments better.
• Over the past year, Nepliy has shown better match outcomes, winning 58.49% of their matches, while Kawagishi managed 42.86%. Does this indicate Nepliy is in better overall form? Potentially.
• On their preferred surfaces, Kawagishi excels on Hard courts with a win rate of 51%, while Nepliy's top performance is on indoor Hard courts at 63%. Kawagishi struggles more on Grass, winning only 33%, whereas Nepliy's least successful surface is Hard at 47%.
• Reflecting on experience, Kawagishi primarily competes in Challengers/ITF tournaments, winning 48.39%, while Nepliy participates in Futures/Satellites/ITF tournaments with a higher success rate of 63.64%.
• The direct head-to-head record is even, each winning one match. Nepliy claimed the last encounter on a Hard surface in Nakhon Si Thammarat.
• In decisive moments, Nepliy has proven better in deciding sets, winning 41% of those matches, compared to Kawagishi's 16% success rate.
• Both players have a comparable breakpoint conversion in recent form, with Kawagishi at 42.31% and Nepliy at 40.82%, indicating similar capabilities when it comes to breaking serve.
• Analyzing opponent quality, Kawagishi has faced slightly tougher competition, with average opponent ranking at 405.47, whereas Nepliy's opponents averaged 428.47 in ranking.

Editorial Prediction (August 7, 2025, UTC):

Assessing the current form and performance under pressure, Kawagishi appears to have certain advantages, especially in saving breakpoints and returning second serves. These factors can influence key moments in the match.

Nepliy's slightly superior match win percentage over the past year and stronger deciding set performance cannot be overlooked. However, Kawagishi has faced marginally tougher opponents recently, which might prepare them better for this matchup.

Considering their past head-to-head balance and the fact that the upcoming match is on Kawagishi's preferred surface, the scales tip slightly in Kawagishi's favor. While it remains a close contest, Kawagishi seems most likely to emerge victorious this time.